= General Sessions |
= Industry Case Studies |
= Hands-on Workshops |
= Software Presentation and Discussion |
Thursday 25 October 2007 |
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08:00 - 09:30 | Registration and Continental Breakfast (MEZZANINE) | ||
09:30 - 10:30 |
Overview of @RISK 5.0 and DecisionTools Suite 5.0 Sam McLafferty, President, Palisade Corporation (ORCHID I & II) |
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CORAL ROOM
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REEF ROOM
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BOARD ROOM
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10:30 - 11:30 |
SOFTWARE PRESENTATION @RISK 5.0 Advanced Topics Discussion Sam McLafferty |
CASE STUDY Using NeuralTools to Generate a Pricing Model for Wool Kimbal Curtis Department of Agriculture Western Australia |
CASE STUDY Financial Risk Quantification Of Environmental Remediation Costs Using Probabilistic Cost Estimating: Theory & Practice John W. Lynch JWL Environmental |
11:30 - 12:00 | Break (MEZZANINE) | ||
12:00 - 13:00 |
HANDS-ON TRAINING Introduction to Project Risk Management using @RISK for Project Dr. Javier Ordóñez |
SOFTWARE PRESENTATION Selecting the Right Distribution Thompson Terry |
CASE STUDY @RISK Uses for Risk-Informed Regulatory Applications Dr. Ching Ning Guey Florida Power & Light |
13:00 - 14:00 | Lunch (ORCHID III) | ||
14:00 - 15:00 |
HANDS-ON TRAINING What's New in @RISK 5.0 Thompson Terry |
SOFTWARE PRESENTATION Real Options with @RISK & RISKOptimizer Dr. Wayne Winston University of Indiana |
CASE STUDY Nonlinear Feedback Loops Using @RISK: Adding Uncertainty to Dynamic Model of Oil Prices Dr. William Strauss FutureMetrics |
15:00 - 16:00 |
HANDS-ON TRAINING Introduction to the DecisionTools Suite Thompson Terry |
CASE STUDY Monte Carlo Simulations and Sensitivity Analyses as a Means to Assess and Optimize the Design of Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture Sites Gregor K. Reid University of New Brunswick and Department of Fisheries and Oceans |
CASE STUDY Insurance Loss Modeling Using Simulation Domingo Joaquin Illinois State University |
16:00 - 16:30 | Break (MEZZANINE) | ||
16:30 - 17:30 |
Keynote: Business Applications of @RISK Dr. Wayne Winston (ORCHID I & II) |
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17:30 - 19:30 | @RISK 5.0 Launch Reception (ORCHID TERRACE) | ||
19:30 - 22:00 | Wine Tasting and Shula's Prime Rib Dinner (ORCHID III) |
Friday 26 October 2007 |
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08:00 - 09:00 | Continental Breakfast (MEZZANINE) | ||
CORAL ROOM
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REEF ROOM
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BOARD ROOM
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09:00 - 10:00 |
SOFTWARE PRESENTATION Model Sharing with the new @RISK Library Sam McLafferty |
CASE STUDY Significance of Risk Quantification John Zhao Suncor |
CASE STUDY Monte Carlo Methods in Forecasting the Demand for Electricity Frank S. McGowan British Columbia Hydro and Power Authority (BC Hydro) |
10:00 - 11:00 |
HANDS-ON TRAINING What's new in @RISK 5.0 Dr. Javier Ordóñez |
CASE STUDY Robust Dynamic Pricing of Perishable Products Yu-jiun Tsai Corning Display Technologies |
CASE STUDY Consumer Credit Data not Predictive in the Decision Process to Select Tenants for Apartment Rental Dr. Michael Furick Georgia Gwinnett State University |
11:00 - 11:30 | Break (MEZZANINE) | ||
11:30 - 12:30 |
SOFTWARE PRESENTATION Introduction to PrecisionTree 5.0 Erik Westwig |
CASE STUDY Integrating @RISK into the DMAIC Process Edward J. Biernat Consulting with Impact, Ltd. |
CASE STUDY Baseball Enigma: The Optimal Batting Order Clay Graham Analytical Advantages LLC |
12:30 - 13:30 | Lunch (ORCHID III) | ||
13:30 - 14:30 |
HANDS-ON TRAINING Introduction to NeuralTools and StatTools Dr. Javier Ordóñez |
CASE STUDY Enterprise Risk Management Lina Cheung CP Risk Solutions LLC |
CASE STUDY Environmentally Impaired Property Transaction Analysis Tim Havranek and Poh-Boon Ung Triangle Economic Research |
14:30 - 15:30 |
HANDS-ON TRAINING Introduction to RISKOptimizer & Evolver Thompson Terry |
CASE STUDY Project Portfolio Management at Novartis Pharma Dr. Javier Ordóñez |
CASE STUDY How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business Douglas Hubbard Hubbard Decision Research |
15:30 - 16:30 |
ROUND TABLE Meet Palisade Developers |
CASE STUDY Determining the Optimal Level of Swaps Roy Nersesian Monmouth University |
CASE STUDY Simulation in Determining Optimal Portfolio Withdrawal Rates from a Retirement Portfolio Dr. Michael Tucker Fairfield University |
16:30 - 18:00 | Closing Reception (ORCHID TERRACE) |