Business & Investment @RISK Models

The aim of this presentation is to demonstrate @RISK to users with little or no experience of stochastic modeling, and to provide a good introduction to the basic features of the software. Additionally, the presentation will be useful for more expert users, should they want to consider using @RISK as a tool to model a number of practical business situations.

We will work on a number of models and case studies such as;

• How to use @RISK to model the administration of an investment portfolio, consisting in different asset classes such as property, trust funds, personal pension plans, shares etc.
• How to design an @RISK model for the launch of a new business idea. We’ll design proforma cash-flow models, P&L, and balance statements.

We will show how to forecast cash flows subject to uncertainty, and the advantages of an @RISK model compared to a traditional deterministic model. Our goal will be to make better defensible business models.

We will use some of the models developed by Prof. Wayne Winston from the University of Indiana, and we will show how these models can easily be adapted to our own requirements.