Consultants, Risk Analysis, Decision Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, Optimisation Software

Consultants Directory

All Consultants on this page are located in North America. For other countries, see Page 1 of the Consultants Directory.

Mr. Timothy P. Anderson, CCE/A
Areas of Expertise: Operations research, cost analysis, cost risk/uncertainty analysis, decision analysis.
Mr. Timothy P. Anderson is a senior project engineer for The Aerospace Corporation. He currently supports the NRO Cost Group as the Aerospace lead for cost methods and model development. Mr. Anderson served for 20 years in the U.S. Navy and began working in the cost estimating field in 1994 while assigned to the Naval Center for Cost Analysis. From there he was assigned as a military professor at the Naval Postgraduate School, teaching cost estimation, operations research, and other technical courses. He retired from the Navy in June 2001. Mr. Anderson has a B.S. in Industrial and Operations Engineering from the University of Michigan, and an M.S. in Operations Research from the Naval Postgraduate School. He is a SCEA certified cost estimator/analyst, an instructor with The Aerospace Institute, and a frequent presenter of topics related to cost estimating and cost risk analysis at forums including the Society of Cost Estimating and Analysis (SCEA), the Military Operations Research Society (MORS), the DoD Cost Analysis Symposium (DoDCAS) and the Space Systems Cost Analysis Group (SSCAG). Mr. Anderson also lectures on these topics at military, civil and commercial organisations including the Naval Postgraduate School, the Air Force Cost Analysis Agency, the Navy Cost Analysis Division (formerly the Naval Center for Cost Analysis), RAND and NASA.
The Aerospace Corporation 15049 Conference Center Drive, CH1-610 Chantilly, Virginia 20151-0823 USA	703.633.2160 703.633.2147 www.aero.org

Mr. James Andrianos, MBA
Areas of Expertise: Health Care & Human / Social Services. Single & multi-specialty practices, hospitals, clinics, surgical centres, self-insured employers, social service agencies, health plan administrators, insurers, governmental funding agencies.
James brings "Fortune 500" planning tools to the Health Care sector to help planners and practitioners derive high-quality solutions for both new and traditional problems. With exclusive health sector experience since 1992, James draws on degrees in Finance (University of Chicago Graduate School of Business) and Decision Science (Princeton University) to meld medical economics, health care operations and quantitative analysis for decision-makers. Tools include: Statistical Forecasting (@RISK), Optimisation Methods (Linear/Integer Programming), Queuing (traffic) Models, and Trade-Off Quantification involving Subjective Criteria. Applications: Optimise staffing costs ~ Develop risk-adjusted competitive bids ~ Measure the financial risk of contracts ~ Generate actuarial utilisation forecasts ~ Allocate premiums across the care continuum ~ Refine provider recruiting plans with demand-driven models ~ Deploy capital resources optimally ~ Establish practice / enterprise valuations ~ and more. Also available: decision support consultation & training for analysts.
Calculated Risk, Inc. 523 Pine Street Suite 602 Seattle, WA 98101-1722 USA	206.382.8575 206.382.0581 www.calculatedriskinc.com

Mr. Ben C. Ball Jr.
Areas of Expertise: Portfolio Management Applied to Petroleum Exploratory Prospects, Management of Exploratory Risk in the Petroleum Industry, Addressing the Risk of Portfolios of Drilling Sites.
After serving as a senior executive of a major oil company, Mr. Ball formed the international consulting organisation of Ball & Associates over 17 years ago. In addition, for the last 19 years he has taught and conducted research at MIT. He has consulted on four continents for scores of firms, large and small, and has written a book and dozens of articles on strategic and risk management.
Mr. Ben C. Ball, Jr. 1811 Trapelo Road Waltham, MA 02154 USA	781.890.0939 781.890.3244

Dr. Sam Bodily
Areas of Expertise: Financial Analysis, Capital Investment, Business/Product/Market Planners, Financial Risk Analysis, Decision Sciences
Dr. Bodily has extensive experience teaching decision analysis at IBM and to other executive audiences. He has written many instructional cases for risk analysis. His courses include intensive study of actual business situations and workshops that move from the classroom identification of problems to hands-on work, individually and in teams. Dr. Bodily will train in-house groups of 60 attendees or less on an individual basis.
Dr. Sam Bodily Darden Graduate School of Business University of Virginia 100 Darden Boulevard Charlottesville, VA 22901 USA	804.924.4813

Dr. Anthony Broskowski
Areas of Expertise: Analytical solutions for the medical healthcare industries; developing management tools for a variety of solutions throughout the healthcare services. Pareto Solutions operates within the health, mental health, and substance abuse/prevention markets.
They have been applying simulation techniques to client problems in the areas of organisational structure, management planning, quality control in clinical and management services, and financial management. Pareto has begun developing a series of @RISK models for these areas and feel that there are many additional opportunities for this powerful technology. In addition to model development and consulting, Pareto offers on-site training to help clients effectively master @RISK.
Dr. Anthony Broskowski Pareto Solutions 1237 Avondale Lane West Palm Beach, FL 33409 USA	561.686.8555 561.686.3964

Dr. Jeff Brown, Oil and Gas Practice, Decision Strategies, Incorporated
Areas of Expertise: Oil and gas in the following areas: Prospect Chance and Volume Assessment; Concession/Play Assessment; Exploration Risk Analysis Software Models; Verification of Value Estimates of Prospects; Litigation Expertise of Value of Exploration Acreage; Performance Analysis/Lookbacks.
The Oil and Gas Practice of Decision Strategies, Inc generates value for its industry clients through decision analysis and risk analysis support, providing consultation, training, and software. The company uses industry best-practice methods to assure that results are consistent and realistic, and their methods are unique within the industry. Dr. Brown (BS with Distinction in Geology, Duke University, MS, PhD, University of South Carolina) has more than 24 years industry experience, more than half of which is in this specific field. He is a Certified Petroleum Geologist, and during his career he has been involved in the assessment of chance of success, volumes, and value for literally hundreds of prospects, concessions, and plays worldwide. Dr. Brown and his colleagues have used @RISK to build and market a unique collection of powerful and flexible Excel models that analyse prospects, plays, and other exploration opportunities. He has found that @RISK’s unlimited model size capacity, ease of use, and charting power add tremendous value to his analyses.
P. Jeffrey Brown, Ph.D. 4504 Amesbury Circle Grapevine, TX 76051 USA	817-488-6189 817-637-6189 (cell) www.decisionstrategies.com

Bill Campbell, III, Risk Mitigation Associates
Areas of Expertise: Cost Estimating, Project Scheduling, Cost / Schedule Risk Analysis, Project Management, Finance, Mathematics
Bill formed Risk Mitigation Associates in 2004 because his experience in risk management had shown him that many companies experience systemic problems that prevent them from recognising and managing risk. Bill’s education includes a Bachelor’s degree in Business (Accounting), and both a Bachelor’s and a Master’s degree in Mathematics. Beyond that, he has had an extremely varied professional background. Bill has developed software and algorithms for computer-aided manufacturing, he has developed algorithms for GPS and deep ocean transponder navigation, he has headed a team of warhead designers, he has created cost models for oil production facilities, he has taught – and continues to teach - college mathematics, he has analysed mortgage securities, and he has been responsible for risk management on large aerospace programmes. Bill has presented papers on integrated cost and schedule risk analysis at many professional symposia, including the 2004 PMI Project Risk Symposium. Bill is also a professional, performing magician.
Bill Campbell, III Risk Mitigation Associates 25516 Aragon Way Yorba Linda, CA 92887 USA	714.694.0174 714.394.2704 cell 714.694.0174 www.riskmitigationassoc.com

cGxP Projects
Areas of Expertise: FDA-regulated industry, Project Risk Management, Product Risk Management, Product Development
Thomas Feldsien is a principal consultant at cGxP Associates, founded in 2001, to provide risk management and project management services to clients in FDA-regulated industry. cGxP Projects relies on Palisade applications such as @RISK, RISKOptimizer and PrecisionTree to estimate project valuation, quantify project risks, and analyze decision pathways. Use of these tools allows us to recommend a high probability pathway for optimal value, especially for product development projects. We also provide project management support for tactical planning and execution of projects once the strategic roadmap is defined. As a subsidiary of cGxP Associates, we have access to quality system best practices and regulatory strategies to quickly break through obstacles that otherwise might increase project risk. Whether you need to accelerate product development, optimize your portfolio, increase operational efficiency or compliance, minimize project risk or get a troubled project back on track, cGxP Projects delivers.
Thomas Feldsien cGxP Projects 514 Carriage Way South Elgin, IL 60177 USA	847.695.5215 http://www.cgxpprojects.com

Dr. Edmund H. Conrow, CMC, CPCM, PMP
Areas of Expertise: Project Risk Management, Project Management, Cost/Performance/Schedule/Risk Trades, Monte Carlo Simulations, Management Strategy, and Technology Planning/Assessment
Dr. Conrow is a risk management and project management consultant to industry, federally funded research centres, national laboratories, and government with 25+ years experience; on hardware-intensive, software-intensive, and mixed projects, with life cycle dollar ranges from several million dollars to more than 50 billion dollars. His work has directly saved millions of dollars on several programmes. Dr. Conrow has served more than 15 times as a risk manager and mentor to risk managers where he was responsible on a daily basis for implementing and making risk management work on a wide variety of programmes and proposals. This includes all facets of project risk management, including but not limited to developing and implementing cost, technical performance, and schedule risk analyses, including more than a thousand Monte Carlo simulations. Dr. Conrow has more than 80 professional presentations and publications on risk management and related topics, and his risk management related work has won awards at national conferences. He is a Certified Management Consultant ( Institute of Management Consultants ), a Certified Professional Consultant to Management (National Bureau of Certified Consultants), and a Project Management Professional (Project Management Institute). Dr. Conrow is an Associate Fellow of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, a Senior Member of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, , and member of the International Council on Systems Engineering. He is the author of the highly regarded book: Effective Risk Management: Some Keys to Success, Second Edition, AIAA, 2003 (carried by Palisade Corporation). He is also the author of the project risk management chapter in Harold Kerzner's best selling book, Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling; and the lead author of the project risk management chapter in Harold Kerzner's Advanced Project Management: Best Practices on Implementation. He holds a BS and MS in nuclear engineering, Ph.D. in general engineering, and M.Phil. and Ph.D. in policy analysis.
Dr. Edmund H. Conrow P.O. Box 1125 Redondo Beach, CA 90278 USA	310.374.7975 http://www.risk-services.com

Dr. Ronald L. Cooper
Areas of Expertise: Management science modelling (inventory planning, queuing analysis, linear programming, Markov analysis, simulation); business forecasting (econometrics, time series analysis); statistical analysis and spreadsheet modelling (Excel, Eviews); Visual Basic programming
Dr. Cooper has served 15 years as a mathematician in energy technology planning and defence weapons systems at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. He has also served as energy economist for the U.S. Treasury Department where he based in Saudi Arabia as advisor at the Ministry of Finance. He has prepared expert testimony for rate cases before the California Public Utilities Commission. Currently, Dr. Cooper serves as a business consultant to electric and gas utilities and as an instructor in managerial finance and economics and ethics at Patten College, Oakland, CA. He has a background in teaching technical subjects in a way that is understandable to those with little or no technical backgrounds. He is adept at finding practical solutions to complex business problems. Education: PhD, Economics, UC Berkeley; Certificate, Mechanical Engineering, UC Davis.
Ronald L. Cooper, Ph.D. 44 Corte Royal Moraga, CA 94556	925.283.8038 925.283.8038

Decision Strategies, Inc. (DSI)
Areas of Expertise: Oil & Gas – Exploration and Production– Development and Commercialisation – Pipeline and Transportation; Petrochemicals and Specialty Chemicals; Information Technology; Life Sciences – Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices; Utilities - Electricity, Gas and Water; Airlines and Transportation Logistics; Automotive and Major Manufacturing; High Tech; Consumer Products
Decision Strategies is an international consulting group focused on creating and enabling client capabilities in decision-making, strategic planning, and project prioritisation. DSI's primary purpose is to enhance the business value and work culture of their clients by enabling them to build and continuously improve internal capabilities in strategy development, decision-making, and implementation of results. DSI has offices in Houston, Atlanta, and Calgary with partners in other locations around the world. Decision Strategies is unlike any other management consulting or training firm. DSI partners have broad-based experience and in-depth business knowledge gained from careers in the business world. DSI combines business knowledge with experience using Integrated Decision Management® methodology for conducting and implementing decision focused engagements within large organisations. DSI offers a transparent approach to quickly begin adding value to engagements and coaching roles with clients.
Contact: Gerald A. Bush Office: (770) 392-1155 Decision Strategies, Inc. 7760 Sagebrush Drive Atlanta, GA 30350-4734 Contact: David Skinner Office: (713) 465-2345 Toll-free: (888) 343-6217 Decision Strategies, Inc. 11111 Katy Freeway – Suite 910 Houston, Texas 77079 Decision Strategies Canada, Inc. Office: (403) 303-2886 300, 400 5th Ave. S.W. Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 0L6	770.392.1155 770.392.9730 www.decisionstrategies.com

Discern Consulting

Areas of Expertise: healthcare management & analysis, specializing in pay-for-performance, value-based purchasing, and managed care environments; decision analysis & simulation; ROI analysis; cost analysis & budget planning; statistical & quantitative modeling tools

Discern provides consulting services to satisfy the needs of the ever-changing U.S. healthcare industry. Discern helps its clients in all aspects of transforming the healthcare system to improve its functionality and efficiency.

Specializing in the areas of pay-for-performance and decision analysis, Discern offers unique expertise in assisting our clients with the development and execution of several successful, national pay-for-performance programs. We have developed numerous customizable, analytical tools for use in implementing these programs, such as ROI calculators, risk analysis, feasibility/readiness assessments, and benefit forecasting analysis (Quality Analysis).

In addition to our analytical expertise, Discern also provides services in project management, organization management, and strategic planning. Visit our website, www.discernconsulting.com, for more information.

Guy D’Andrea
President, Discern Consulting
1501 Sulgrave Avenue, Suite 302
Baltimore, MD 21209

410-542-4470

www.discernconsulting.com

Mr. Robert J. Fares
Areas of Expertise: Exposure Assessments, Human Health and Ecological Risk Assessments
Mr. Fares has spent over 22 years in training and conducting exposure/human health risk assessments for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), U.S. Department Of Energy (DOE), state agencies, and commercial client projects. He has developed training material for the U.S. EPA (OPPT) on the use of Monte Carlo simulation to address model sensitivity and parameter uncertainty in exposure/human health risk assessments. He has also evaluated the use of Monte Carlo simulation as an alternative to point estimates of exposure in Superfund risk assessments for the U.S. EPA (OERR).
Mr. Robert J. Fares Risk Management Initiative, LLC 20 Lyndhurst Court Sterling, VA 20165 USA	703.444.4976 703.444.5570

Mr. John Howell
Portfolio Decisions Inc 908 Town and Country Blvd Suite 120 Houston, TX 77024 USA	713.984.7644 713.464.0376

Dr. David T. Hulett
Areas of Expertise: Project Management, Risk Assessment and Management, Cost Estimating, Project Scheduling, Defence, Aerospace, Energy, Economics
Dr. Hulett's clients include McDonnell-Douglas, Raytheon/E-Systems, the US Army, the Air Force Space and Missiles Systems Center, the Los Alamos National Laboratory, NASA, Hewlett Packard, Phillips Petroleum, Mead Corporation, Harris Corporation and Lanier & Bradley. Dr. Hulett has lectured on risk assessment at the Defence Systems Management College, NASA Lewis, Edwards AFB and the Naval Air Weapons Centers. He has presented papers on cost and schedule risk analysis to many professional societies including the annual Risk Management training track at the Performance Management Association (PMA) and the Project Management Institute (PMI). He has held strategic planning and corporate development positions at TRW and TOSCO Corporation, an oil refiner with synthetic fuels projects. He also served in numerous federal government positions, including the Federal Energy Administration and Department of Energy. He was an Instructor in the Department of Economics at Harvard University, and earned his Ph.D. in Economics from Stanford University. He is a member of many professional societies, including PMI, the Society for Cost Estimating and Analysis, and the American Economic Association. Click here to view "Schedule Risk Analysis Simplified," a slide show presentation prepared by Dr. Hulett.
Dr. David T. Hulett Hulett & Associates Project Management Consultants 12233 Shetland Lane Los Angeles, CA 90049 USA	310.476.7699 310.283.3527 (cell) 310.472.8846 www.projectrisk.com

Domingo Castelo Joaquin
Areas of Expertise: Value-based management, Valuing projects with real options, Financial management.
Domingo Castelo Joaquin is an Assistant Professor of Finance at the Illinois State University where he teaches undergraduate and MBA courses in Value-based Management and Spreadsheet modelling in Corporate Finance. He earned his Ph.D. from Michigan State University. He has published articles on Strategic Entry and Exit Decisions, Cost of Capital, Decision Theory, Portfolio Selection and Capital Budgeting. His work of portfolio diversification has been cited in The New York Times, Money Magazine, and CNNfn. Domingo Castelo Joaquin is a consultant at Economic and Corporate Risk Assessment Consultants (ECR Consultants). ECR Consultants provides risk assessment training using Palisade Corporation's risk assessment software products, and consultation in the areas of Risk Assessment, Real Options, and Portfolio Risk. In addition, ECR Consultants provides consultation and training in the development of Forecasting Models and the translation of these models to @RISK models.
Illinois State University Department of Finance, Insurance & Law Normal, IL 61790 USA	309.438.2258

Mr. Dennis Jordan
Areas of Expertise: Economics, Energy Industry, Oil & Gas and Risk Analysis
Collarini Engineering Inc. offers one-, two-, and five-day seminars in risk analysis and investment decision analysis. These courses concentrate on providing an understanding of concepts and methods. Courses open to the public are scheduled periodically throughout the year. In-house seminars customised to the needs of the customer can be arranged. All seminar leaders have an MBA complemented by an average of twenty years experience in economic analysis.
Mr. Dennis Jordan Collarini Engineering Inc. 203 Carondelet St., Ste. 400 New Orleans, LA 70130 USA	504.522.9077 504.522.9097

Jurik Research & Consulting
Areas of Expertise: Forecasting, Oil & Gas, Finance
Jurik Research was founded in 1988 in Silicon Valley and develops algorithms that identify and classify complex data. Now that the cold war is over, signal processing skills originally intended for military projects are now successfully applied to the commercial arena, ... and you, the public, stand to benefit. From forecasting the price of aluminum futures to the cost of pumping natural gas across America, from predicting consumer food demand to sports results, Jurik Research innovated ways to "peek" into the future. Today, Jurik Research focuses mainly on the financial market. Mark Jurik, its founder, specialises in data modelling and time series forecasting methods. A lecturer and instructor for over a decade, his presentations covered both the theoretical and practical aspects of neural network technology. He created "NeuroTapes", a 12-hour video course on neural network technology that sold worldwide for more than a decade. Mark lectured at 28 conferences and seminars and authored articles for Futures magazine and the Journal of Computational Intelligence in Finance. Jurik is a contributing author to the book Virtual Trading, author of his own book Neural Networks and Financial Forecasting and editor of the newly released book Computerized Trading, distributed by the New York Institute of Finance. .
Mr. Mark Jurik Jurik Research & Consulting P.O. Box 460669 Aurora, CO 80046 USA	303.680.4409 303.680.4605

Mr. Duane Kexel
Areas of Expertise: Utility Forecasting, Economics, Water Resources, Capital Investments
Mr. Kexel has extensive experience applying @RISK to uncertainty evaluations for utilities and natural resource industries. This work has included electric load forecasting, oil production forecasting, and water resource planning. Mr. Kexel's uses of @RISK for load forecasting have been adopted by more than 20 utilities and have been published by EPRI. Mr. Kexel consults widely with both domestic and international clients, in utilities, government, and major lending agencies.
Mr. Duane T. Kexel Power System Engineering Inc 2000 Engel St., Ste. 100 Madison, WI 53713 USA	608.222.8400 608.222.9378

Mr. James Macrae
Areas of Expertise: Oil & Gas, Defence, Pharmaceutical, Engineering, Information Technology, Transportation, Construction, Financial, and Telecommunications sectors of industry and government departments
James Macrae is the Executive Vice President of Euro Log Inc. in Atlanta, GA. Euro Log are the UK's longest established consultancy specialising in the practical application of Project Risk Management. In 1975, Euro Log introduced the principles of Project Risk Management into British industry and have led the field in Europe in providing comprehensive decision support at all stages of the product life-cycle. They also address Business Risk Management, a vital area of concern for those who have to translate the strategic planning of an organisation into effective actions. Euro Log's approach to all aspects of decision support combines the benefits of proven analytical techniques with those of a practical solution-based process for tackling problems.
Mr. James Macrae Euro Log Inc. 6600 Powers Ferry Rd. Atlanta, GA 30339 USA	770.664.6719 770.664.6558

Mr. Don Mettler
Areas of Expertise: Technical implementation of new and existing business models, stabilization of Excel models, technical design of applications using Palisade�s products, systems integration, Microsoft development tools (VB, VB.NET, ASP, ASP.NET, C#, C++), and technical SAP experience
Experience: Don started Mettler Consulting in 1998 to provide high quality technical consulting services to their clients. Their clients come from a variety of industries; this includes aerospace, pharmaceutical, consumer products, financial, manufacturing, technology, and insurance. His Palisade skills focus on the implementation of Excel-based models in production environments where the power of models can be utilized by many. This is accomplished in two ways. First, through the use of the Palisade developer kits, Excel models are replicated using technologies such as C# or VB.NET, into a callable component. These components can then be exposed to applications that run on many different computers or to web based applications. The enables the power of your business models to be shared among an unlimited number of users. For example Don designed and built an inventory optimization model that interfaced directly with an ordering system to adjust order quantities based on the model�s findings using Palisade�s @RISK and Evolver developer kits. Second, models can be rolled out to many users by standardizing, enhancing, and stabilizing existing Excel models. This way many individual similar models can be combined into a best-of-breed model and then deployed to groups working together. Don is a graduate of University of Colorado at Boulder and resides in Atlanta, Georgia.
Don Mettler, President Mettler Consulting, Inc. 5700 Spur Circle Norcross, GA 30092 USA	770.652.8476 www.mettler-consulting.com

Dr. James Murtha
Areas of Expertise: Energy, especially oil and gas models: reserves, production forecasts, capital investment, and cash flow; General project investment and cost estimation models; Training and assistance in all DecisionTools products; On site classes for 7 people or more. Seminars for managers.
Jim Murtha, a registered petroleum engineer, presents seminars and training courses and advises clients in building probabilistic models in risk analysis and decision making. Jim is an industry-recognised expert on risk and decision analysis; he was elected to Distinguished Membership in SPE in 1999, the recipient of the 1998 SPE Award in Economics and Evaluation, and was 1996-7 SPE Distinguished Lecturer in Risk and Decision Analysis. Since 1992, over 2400 professionals have taken his classes. He has published Decisions Involving Uncertainty - An @RISK Tutorial for the Petroleum Industry. In 25 years of academic experience, he chaired a maths department, taught petroleum engineering, served as academic dean of a college, and co-authored two texts in mathematics and statistics. Jim has a Ph.D. in mathematics from the U of Wisconsin, a MS in petroleum & natural gas engineering from Penn State, and a BS in mathematics from Marietta College.
Dr. James Murtha 1542 Lawrence Street Houston, TX 77008-3834 USA	713.426.2919 713.426-2920 www.jmurtha.com

Roy L. Nersesian
Areas of Expertise: Development of cases for @RISK, Evolver, RISKOptimizer, and PrecisionTree for self-instruction and use in the classroom. Am willing to work with software trainers and educators to select individual cases from manuals available from Palisade to prepare a specially tailored manual for classroom or training session use including information provided by the instructor.
Harvard MBA. Associate Professor at School of Business, Monmouth University in operations and logistics management and statistics. Author of books in simulation and global management (website www.nerses.com). Consultant to the shipping industry (website www.poten.com).
Roy L. Nersesian 10 Maryland Road Maplewood, NJ 07040 USA	973.762.8604 973.761.8880

Dr. Jayshree Pandya Ph. D, PMP
Areas of Expertise: Biotech, Health Care, Waste, IT, Project/Programme/Portfolio Management, Risk Assessment and Management, Strategic Planning, Bio-Energy, Project Audits, Change Management, Off-Shore Technology Development
Dr. Jayshree Pandya is founder and CEO of Texas-based Risk Management Consulting Company (Risk Group LLC). Risk Group provides services in the areas of Portfolio Risk Management, Enterprise Risk Management, IT Risk Management, Programme Risk Management, Project Risk Management, Off-Shore Risk Management, Resource Risk Management and Contract Risk Management. Risk Group also provides Basic and Advanced Risk Management Training. Prior to founding Risk Group, Jayshree served as CEO of Kaivalsoft, Inc and before that as the CEO of Shree Consulting LLC, a Wisconsin based Consulting Company. Jayshree is also the author of “Advanced Risk Management course” and co-author of “Introduction to Project Management” course offered by PMI Houston. She is quoted in several trade journals, published numerous times in International Journals and is a recipient of a National Award.
Risk Group LLC 5403 Dunston Ct Suite #100 Sugar Land TX 77479 USA	832-971-8322 www.riskgroupllc.com* *Training information available at this site.

Dr. Susan Peterson
Areas of Expertise: Energy, especially oil and gas models: reserves, production forecasts, capital investment, and cash flow; General project investment and cost estimation models; Training and assistance in all DecisionTools products; On site classes for 7 people or more. Seminars for managers.
Dr. Susan Peterson has more than 16 years of experience working as a project manager, senior drilling engineer, and faculty member. She has been an associate of Jim Murtha since January 1999. Susan performs project-specific risk analysis and provides training on decision and risk analysis. She served as project team leader for a risk analysis and decision methods initiative, and was responsible for integrated risk analysis for full-field development projects, including probabilistic estimates for time and cost, selection of appropriate technology, strategising terms and conditions, and overall project economics. Susan was assistant professor of petroleum engineering at Marietta College; she has PhD and MS degrees from Texas A&M; University and a BS degree from Marietta College, all in petroleum engineering.
Susan Peterson 11923 Longleaf Lane Houston, TX 77024 USA	713.266.4593 713.266.0024

Dr. Ronley H. Plous
Areas of Expertise: Operations management, process engineering and medical consulting
KAYTRON is a progressive healthcare consulting firm that focuses on the integration of medical and engineering principles to the healthcare industry. KATRON functions as a virtual engineering consulting firm. The range of services spans all medical and operational disciplines within the healthcare delivery system. Dr. Ronley Plous is founder and president of KAYTRON. Dr. Plous is a physician and engineer with experience in academic settings, private group settings, and the corporate world. Ron is a Fellow of the College of American Pathologists, has been elected to the American College of Physicians, and serves with numerous other professional organisations.
Dr. Ronley H. Plous KAYTRON 12015 Pawnee Lane Leawood, KS 66209 USA	913.663.5298 913.663.5298 www.kaytron.net

Dr. Patrick St. J. Price
Areas of Expertise: Pipeline integrity specialist with an emphasis on Oil and Gas pipelines, structural reliability, systems analysis, pipeline inspection and environmental impact; monitoring and maintenance planning.
Dr. Price is presently a consultant with URS Corporation, one of North America's largest engineering service companies.
Dr. Patrick St. J. Price URS Corporation 2025 First Avenue, Suite 500 Seattle, WA 98121 USA	206.728.0744 (cell # on voicemail)

Terry Reilly
Areas of Expertise: Mathematics and Statistics
Terence Reilly is the Gillette Professor of Mathematics at Babson College. He earned his Ph.D. at the University of Oregon and was awarded the William's Recognition Grant for cooperative learning techniques in statistics. Terry has used the DecisionTools package in his MBA classes over the past years with great success. He has also given seminars on the use of PrecisionTree in the classroom and at national conferences.
Terry Reilly Babson College Math and Science Division Babson Park, MA 02157 USA	781.239.6441 781.239.6416

John Schuyler
Areas of Expertise: Energy & Minerals, Manufacturing, Distribution & Retail, Government, Corporate Planning, Economics, and Project Management.
John Schuyler trains and assists clients in risk and economic decision analysis and in project risk management. He has presented 2- to 5-day courses over 150 times in 23 countries. He has over 25 years business experience in consulting, analysis, and management. Using @RISK as one of his main tools, he trains clients in developing business and project models. Mr. Schuyler is a CAM, CMA, CMC, CCE, CPIM, PMP and PE. He holds B.S. and M.S. degrees in engineering and an M.B.A. He has written 2 books, 2 handbook chapters and over 40 articles.
Decision Precision 15492 East Chenango Avenue Aurora, CO 80015-1703 USA	800.214.3916 (US & Canada) 303.693.0067 303.693.2827 www.maxvalue.com

Paul Serex
Areas of Expertise: Business Planning and Modelling in the areas of Operations, Finance and Marketing with extensive analytical modelling using Microsoft Excel.
Paul Serex is a lecturer in Operations Management at Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business, where he received his MBA in the same discipline. He has held several senior Operations positions and recently was CEO of a multinational manufacturing firm. His business modelling design and implementation was a critical factor in several successful turnarounds and his analytical modelling with Excel produced simulations of business conditions that were essential to executive-level decision making. The models included @RISK and Linear Programming. Mr. Serex has held classes in Business and Analytical modelling to increase the productivity to analysts, production and administrative personnel. He is currently conducting regional and on-site seminars on these topics.
Paul Serex 3704 Mesa Lane Bloomington, IN 47401 USA	812.824.7990

Steven Slezak
Areas of Expertise: Financial and Energy Markets, Risk Management Strategies, Hedging, Trading, Investment Portfolio Management, Derivatives, Financial Modelling, Business Simulation, Corporate Finance, and Strategic Business Planning.
Since its inception in 1994, CSI has worked with an impressive list of clients in the United States and abroad. We have provided them with strategic consulting services built upon the Palisade software suite, especially @RISK, RISKOptimizer, and StatTools. Using these powerful risk simulation and analytical programmes, CSI provides clients a full range of the best strategic planning services available. Our clients include investment management companies, telecom and satellite communications firms, government contractors, construction businesses, real estate investment trusts, derivatives traders, energy traders, and non-profit organisations. CSI has written and implemented strategic business plans and strategic financial plans for its clients using Palisade software. Besides modelling and simulating pro-forma financial statements, analyses, and documents, CSI has also built sophisticated investment portfolios of all sizes, from $500,000 to over $1 billion. We have done asset allocation studies for investment and trading companies. We have modeled and simulated multi-million dollar hedging strategies in fixed income, equities, and derivatives. CSI’s clients are domestic brand names and international businesses, and our work is known globally for its excellence and thoroughness. CSI has also taught clients the art and science of computer modelling and simulation using @RISK and other software tools. Qualifications Steven Slezak holds an MBA in Finance from Johns Hopkins University (2000). He also holds a graduate certificate in investment management from Johns Hopkins. He took his bachelor of science degree in foreign service from Georgetown University in 1981. Mr. Slezak is a member of the Faculty, Finance Department, in the Johns Hopkins University MBA programme, where he teaches corporate finance. Representative Projects 2004 – Built pro-forma financial analysis of aviation company moving into a new strategic business. Modeled trading strategies for the commodities markets in Chicago. Analysed risk management strategies of derivatives trading firm. Analysed $300 million hedging strategy in bonds and fixed income derivatives. 2003 – Simulated performance of high school maths students in a large public school system. Modeled stock price movements in response to changes in interest rates for publicly traded company. 2002 – Wrote strategic business plan for start-up capital equipment company. Modeled all aspects of financial operations and leases. 2001 – Performed asset allocation study and risk analysis for large investment portfolio in private equity, energy, and real estate investments. Simulated and analysed strategic hedging trades in equity and fixed income derivatives. 2000 – Created foundation risk management study of markets in natural gas and electricity for energy trading company. Linked @RISK model to Bloomberg terminal for live data feeds that constantly updated the model and its value-at-risk reporting. Performed study of performance measures of professional athletes to determine probability of performance at similar levels in future seasons.
Steven Slezak, President Camden Station International, Inc. 1808 Sulgrave Avenue Baltimore, MD 21209 USA	410.963.8001

Dr. Leonard J. Tashman
Areas of Expertise: Statistics, Forecasting, Decision Analysis
PhD Economics, Brown University. Professor Tashman has served for more than 20 years on the faculty of the University of Vermont’s School of Business Administration, is Software Editor for The Forum and The Oracle and is an internationally recognised authority on forecasting and decision-analysis software. As Director of Decision Economics LLC’s Analytical Retooling Workshops series, he offers regularly-scheduled as well as custom-contracted workshops in statistics, forecasting, marketing research, risk and decision analysis for practicing professionals from business, economic and legal disciplines.
Dr. Leonard J. Tashman UVM School of Business Administration 215 Kalkin Building Burlington, VT 05401 USA	802.425.3805 802.899.2459 www.retooling.com

Dr. Elaine Tatham
Areas of Expertise: Varied Applications including Manufacturing, Marketing, Capital Investment, Utilities, Government
Dr. Tatham has over 22 years experience in quantitative-based management decision-making. She is the president of a management consulting company formed in 1982 that also provides data collection and analysis services. She currently uses @RISK in her Univ. of Kansas graduate engineering management simulation class. She also teaches forecasting and mathematical programming to graduate engineering management students.
Dr. Elaine Tatham ETC Institute 1501 E. Park Olathe, KS 66061 USA	913.829.1215

Mr. Michael Wakshull
Areas of Expertise: Project management, software development, business continuity planning, disaster recovery.
Michael Wakshull has expertise is in software process improvement, risk management, quality. He is a co-editor of the Risk Management chapter of A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge® and reviews risk management books for PM Journal. His responsibilities are a lecturer and project management consultant for electronic commerce applications, disaster recovery and business continuity plans, for airport security and banking. Mr. Wakshull holds certifications as a PMP and Certified Information Systems Auditor (CISA). He has presented papers on risk management at conferences for project management, information systems audit, and information systems security. Mr. Wakshull offers three and four day courses in implementation of a practical approach to project risk management. Project Management Institute has licensed this course for presentation under the PMI name.
Michael N. Wakshull PMCTI P.O. Box 2210 Moorpark, CA 93020-2210 USA	805.529.4610 805.501.3388 cell 805.523.0864 cell www.pmcti.com

Mr. Thomas V. Watkins, Management Technology Consulting, Inc.
Areas of Expertise: Management process modelling, simulation and optimisation, technology and business investment risk assessment, bid and proposal risks, Contract/project risk assessments. Specializing in Federal governement and military.
Tom Watkins and MTC, Inc. specialise in decision analysis to resolve business, technical, management, marketing and organisational issues to achieve lower risks, optimum efficiency and improved effectiveness in an environment of competition, budget constraint or increased demands on productivity and schedule. Tom Watkins, BSCS, BEEE, MBA, has 35+ years of experience in the hands-on application of quantifying management decisions in the military, government and commercial competitive business environments. Mr. Watkins has successfully managed government contracts totally more than $3 billion and provided management consultation on more than $29 billion in commercial contracts and investments. His expertise lies in being able to dissect and reduce decision problems to their essence, quantify the options and optimise the solution choices. Representative Projects: Taught NSA, US Army, USDA and seven large businesses how to apply Balance Scorecard and BPR process optimisation; Designed, modeled, simulated, optimised and quantified recruitment and training pipleine for Department of Defence; Developed risk assessments for nine government contract bids to justify investments or protests; Created and optimised business process models for numerous government organisations and commercial businesses You can’t manage, What you can’t measure!
Management Technology Consulting, Inc. Government Systems Division 198 Fulbright Court, Suite 500 Severna Park, MD 21146 USA	410.544.2532 www.vbpm.com

Dr. Wayne Winston
Areas of Expertise: Varied Applications including Decision Sciences, Finance, Portfolio Analysis and Marketing.
Dr. Wayne Winston is a Professor of Decision Sciences at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University in Bloomington. He has repeatedly been recognised for excellence in business education, including being named best MBA teacher on four occasions. Dr. Winston has written several books, including Operations Research, Decision Making Under Uncertainty with RISKOptimizer, and Financial Models Using Simulation and Optimization, all available from Palisade Corporation. He is also an instructor for Palisade's DecisionTools Software Seminars.
Dr. Wayne Winston Kelley School of Business Indiana University 10th and Fee Lane Room 570 Bloomington, IN 47405 USA	812.855.3495 812.855.8679

Dr. Charlie Yoe
Areas of Expertise: Water Resources, Economics, Natural & Technological Disasters, Decision Sciences, Capital Investment, Financial Analysis/Budgeting, and Training.
Dr. Yoe has developed models for clients' specific needs in a variety of analytical, decision-making and risk management settings. He has also demonstrated risk analysis methods for clients. Dr. Yoe has extensive consulting/training experience with national and international groups and extensive years of teaching experience in academia, government and business.
Dr. Charlie Yoe 505 Bathurst Road Baltimore, MD 21228-4010 USA	410.744.7390 410.744.7390

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